Energy Profits Levy retained as households still face high bills

The Chancellor’s decision to keep the Energy Profits Levy has been met with fierce opposition from parts of the energy industry, despite falling revenues from the tax.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition commented:

“The Chancellor was right to maintain the Energy Profits Levy and then reform it after the current period ends. Given tax rises elsewhere in the budget, it would have been perverse to have then handed a tax break to companies that are making extraordinary profits during the crisis.

“Given that the North Sea will naturally run out of gas, more drilling won’t make energy cheaper or the country more energy secure. But as the gas industry declines, it is vital that workers and communities affected by the changing energy mix are properly supported.

“Even with the changes announced in the Budget, we still expect that from April 2026, average energy bills will be hundreds of pounds higher than they were in winter 2020/2021.

“And in Scotland, we will see a real terms reduction in the funding available for vital energy efficiency measures with the scrapping of the ECO levy, which we would urge the Chancellor to address with the receipts from the Windfall Tax.

“The millions of households who will still be struggling with the cost of energy need further bold action from Governments in Westminster and Holyrood in reform of energy pricing, targeting energy bill support at those who need it, and in creating an ambitious Warm Homes Plan to upgrade cold, damp homes.”

Energy bills to fall next spring, but cold homes remain a national challenge

Today’s Budget brings a modest but welcome reduction in energy bills. After five turbulent years, any drop in costs offers relief to households who have been stretched to breaking point. Our analysis suggests the average bill will fall to around £1,665 from April 2026 — a step in the right direction and recognition that further action on affordability is needed.

But the job is far from done. Bills will still be significantly higher than before the crisis and the UK now faces a 25% shortfall in energy efficiency funding with the end of the ECO scheme. Without restoring long-term investment in warm homes and reforming the way energy is priced, millions will continue to face unnecessary hardship.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition commented:
“Any reduction in energy bills will be welcome as households face their fifth winter of the energy costs crisis and the Government is right to be investing in the Warm Homes Plan to help improve the energy efficiency of peoples’ homes.

“But no one can warm their home with Budget headlines, and the Chancellor’s statement also highlights the scale of the challenge.

“Even with the changes announced, we expect that from April 2026, average energy bills will still be hundreds of pounds higher than they were in winter 2020/2021 and £97 higher than at the General Election.*

“The millions of households who will still be struggling with the cost of energy need further bold action from the Government in reform of energy pricing, targeting energy bill support at those who need it, delivering on a new fuel poverty strategy and in creating an ambitious Warm Homes Plan to upgrade cold, damp homes.

“And we’d also urge the Chancellor to address a c.25% projected shortfall in total energy efficiency funding in future budgets after the ECO scheme is scrapped.”

* End Fuel Poverty Coalition estimates based on the current price cap, the Ofgem 1 January price cap announcement, industry analysts forecasts and the Chancellor’s statement / Budget documents. Price cap comparison points:

  • 01/01/2021 — £1,042
  • 01/07/2024 — £1,568
  • 01/10/2025 — £1,755
  • 01/01/2026 — £1,758
  • 01/04/2026 — £1,665

Another Winter, same crisis: Energy bills stay high as profits soar

As the UK braces for another winter of cold weather warnings, the Ofgem price cap for January to March 2026 has been announced.

Average energy bills will come in at £1,758. This is £3 higher than current levels, with bills remaining over £700 above 2020 levels and £190 higher than at the General Election in July 2024.

Meanwhile the energy industry has posted more than £40bn in UK profits in the last two years. With the Budget days away, the Government faces a defining choice.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, commented:
“Energy bills remain stubbornly high as households face a fifth winter of the energy costs crisis. Today’s announcement sees standing charges rise yet again, highlighting the structural challenges in how energy is paid for.

“The addition of a new levy on bills which pays for nuclear power stations is unwelcome and could have been delayed until closer to when these plants actually start to generate electricity.

“Today’s Ofgem announcement keeps the average energy bill at almost £700 above the levels of winter 2020/21 and £190 more than at the 2024 General Election.

“Despite many people living in cold damp homes, the energy industry has posted more than £125 billion in profits in the UK alone in recent years.

“Yet some business lobbyists have called for the Chancellor to end the Windfall Tax. Instead, next week’s Budget is a chance for the Government to finally get serious about ending fuel poverty.

“We need long-term investment in energy efficiency, not short-term thinking. We need action to bring down electricity prices, not excuses. And we need a fair tax regime that puts people before profiteers.

“If the Government truly wants to cut bills and protect the public, it must fully fund the Warm Homes Plan, continue to improve our energy security, introduce a fair social tariff, and reform our broken energy pricing system.”

Energy bills could remain £691 a year higher than 2020

Media reports suggest average household energy bills might drop slightly from 1 January 2026. Experts at Cornwall Insight have said that the Ofgem price cap is expected to dip by 1%, taking an average bill to £1,733 a year.

This figure remains £691 higher than before the energy bills crisis started.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, commented:
“As cold weather warnings are issued across the UK, energy bills remain at crisis levels while energy giants have generated over £125 billion in profits on their UK operations since the energy crisis started.

“Millions of households are already rationing their heating to stay afloat, and with temperatures dropping sharply the risks to people’s health and safety are becoming severe.

“After five winters of sky-high bills, families cannot be expected to cope with this alone. We urgently need reduced electricity bills and targeted financial support for those most at risk, alongside a fully funded national programme of insulation and energy-efficiency upgrades to keep homes warm.”

Ministers urged to clarify energy efficiency support funds

More people will get money off technology that keeps their homes warm in winter and cool in summer after the Government has announced plans to expand the Boiler Upgrade Scheme.

This currently offers grants of £7,500 off the cost of installing an air source or ground source heat pump, now the scheme has been expanded to offer a £2,500 discount off the cost of installing an air-to-air heat pump, which can provide heat in winter and air conditioning in summer.

The grants are available to all households and form part of the government’s £13.2 billion Warm Homes Plan, rather than being funded in addition to this budget as previously expected.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, commented:
“The Government doesn’t seem to know if it is coming or going.

“One week they are briefing the media that energy efficiency budgets may be slashed in the Budget. The next they are talking up heat pumps and calling for households to apply for support.

“Households struggling with the fifth winter of high energy bills need to know what help will be available to them to keep their homes warm in winter and cool in summer.

“The Government’s Warm Homes Plan and fuel poverty strategies need to be published without any further delay so households know where they stand and industry can ensure enough skilled workers are trained.”

Cuts of 40% to energy efficiency measures considered by Chancellor

Reports in the media suggest that the Chancellor is set to raid the funding for its flagship Warm Homes Plan to pay for energy bill reductions.

The breakdown of the £13.2bn Warm Homes Plan funding was due to be announced last month and was expected to include additional support for social housing, heat pumps, home upgrade loans and local authority-led retrofit schemes.

At the Comprehensive Spending Review, the End Fuel Poverty Coalition stressed that this £13.2bn must be addition to the c.£8.5bn (over 5 years) budget for existing schemes like the Energy Company Obligation (ECO). The Coalition wrote to Ministers [pdf] setting out reforms needed to this scheme following a critical National Audit Office report and has in the past called for this to be funded via general taxation.

However, the proposals briefed to the Guardian would effectively substitute parts of the Warm Homes Plan for existing schemes. This would essentially reduce the total £21.7bn energy efficiency pot by 40% over 5 years, harming the very efforts that would help to bring down bills in the long term and help end the suffering of people living in cold damp homes.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, commented

“Any cuts to the Warm Homes Plan or other programmes to improve housing conditions would be a short-sighted act of betrayal by the Chancellor.

“These electorally popular policies can help bring down energy usage in a safe way and improve the energy efficiency of the homes of people in fuel poverty.

“We obviously understand the urgent need to cut energy bills, but the Chancellor – who previously brought us the Winter Fuel Payment fiasco – appears to be listening to the wrong people.

“It is entirely possible for the Government to help reduce energy bills, but Ministers need to look in the right place for changes.

“Given that between a quarter and a third of the average energy bill is profit for different parts of the energy industry, the Chancellor should look at how the Windfall Tax could be improved, rather than giving tax breaks to energy firms as she is being lobbied to do.

“Other ways to bring down bills include addressing electricity pricing and inefficiencies in the market, using public investment to help fund grid upgrades and real reform of standing charges. We would be happy to talk to the Chancellor about our recommendations.”

The industry trade body, Energy UK, has also set out economic reasons why this move could harm efforts to improve cold damp homes.

New report exposes energy firm profit bonanza in 2024

An investigation by Unite the union has found that energy firms made £30 billion in profits in just one year, every family paying around £500 on the average energy bill just to fund those profits. This is the second report to arrive at a similar figure, with the Common Wealth think tank suggesting profits make up 24% of an energy bill.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, commented:

“At a time when energy debt is soaring and millions are living in cold, damp homes, it cannot be right that the system continues to prioritise corporate profits over people’s health and wellbeing.

“Instead of turning a blind eye or listening to the powerful lobbyists calling for a cut to the Energy Profits Levy, Ministers must make sure excess profits are clawed back and used to cut bills.

“With proper investment in reforming energy pricing, providing support with bills and a national Warm Homes Plan to upgrade our leaky housing, this Government could end fuel poverty for good.”

Ofgem responds to energy debt crisis as MPs demand action

Ofgem has today announced plans to “reset and reform” how energy debt is handled, including a new Debt Relief Scheme that aims to write off up to £500m of historic arrears for around 195,000 households.

The regulator says the first phase will focus on people on means-tested benefits with debts built up during the energy crisis, alongside new rules to support customers in difficulty and reforms designed to stop debt building up in future.

Ofgem also plans trials to change how energy accounts are set up when people move home, and will introduce a new “Know Your Rights” guide for consumers. The full consultation will be published in the coming weeks, with the scheme expected to launch in early 2026.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, commented:

“We welcome Ofgem recognising the scale of the energy debt crisis and we are broadly supportive of the Debt Relief Scheme, but announcing plans before the consultation is even published raises questions about whether they’ve been bounced into action by this week’s Energy Select Committee report.

“In this report, MPs got it right: this energy debt crisis needs bolder, faster action and must be funded through excess energy industry profits, not pushed back onto struggling households.

“Bill-payers have already handed over hundreds of millions to cover debt recovery, yet energy debt has spiralled to £4.4bn. The current system has clearly failed, and unless Ofgem is given the powers to protect consumers properly, this crisis will keep repeating every winter.”

Wind power set for further investment

The government has unveiled its long-awaited Contracts for Difference “AR7 budget” for offshore wind, with £900 million for fixed projects and £180 million for floating wind.

The announcement comes as new UCL research shows wind power has already saved UK consumers billions, cutting wholesale prices and shielding homes from volatile gas markets.

Yet with strike prices of £113/MWh for fixed wind and £271/MWh for floating, concerns remain that bills may increase, while ministers insist that the government “won’t buy at any price.”

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, commented:

“The North Sea is running out of gas and new gas power plants could take the best part of a decade to even get off the ground. Britain simply can’t rely on fossil fuels for its energy security.

“That’s why renewables are so important. They cut our dependence on gas imports and prices and create jobs where they’re needed most. But this transition has to be managed fairly.

“The public deserve to clearly see how they benefit, through lower electricity prices, greater transparency on how the strike prices work, and clear profit caps that ensure developers don’t cash in at consumers’ expense.”

Blair Institute’s ‘reset’ plan risks powering delay, not progress

A new report from the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change backs calls for a “reset” of the UK’s electricity strategy, but critics warn it could play into the hands of those seeking to slow down clean-power investment.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition welcomed “any serious discussion about how to make our energy transition smarter, faster and fairer,” but also commented:

“Given that by 2027 the North Sea will no longer be able to provide enough gas to heat our homes, this report must not become a pretext to delay vital moves to improve energy security and bring down bills.

“Scrapping contracts for green power, weakening support for renewables or backing away from decisive grid upgrades will continue to keep households locked into volatile fossil-fuel markets and higher bills.

“The report’s conclusions also raise questions about the Tony Blair Institute’s funding and affiliations. As reported by The Guardian, the Institute has received financial support from governments and entities linked to fossil fuel-producing states, including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.”

Ed Matthew, UK programme director for the independent climate change think tank E3G said:

“The only solution to get off the gas price rollercoaster is to get off gas.

“Our research shows that it is possible for the Government to reach its 2030 clean power target whilst reducing electricity bills by more than £200.

“But that requires urgent action by government to implement cost cutting policies, including moving levies off electricity bills into the Exchequer [general taxation].”

Jess Ralston, energy analyst at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU), added: “The public may be more interested in their energy bills than what percentage of clean power the UK reaches in 2030, but renewables are already lowering wholesale power prices by around a quarter, or £25 per megawatt hour.”