The majority of the public are worried about rising energy costs as a result of the conflict with in Iran, according to new polling by Survation for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition.
83% of the public are worried about energy bills and 44% say they would be unable to afford the expected £228 annual increase in energy bills from 1 July.
A quarter of these respondents claim they would be “completely unable to pay my energy bill” if costs rose to this level.
As energy bills are set to rise, a majority of the public (64%) believe that the energy industry is profiteering from the conflict in Iran.
Over half (53%) of the population say that ending the Windfall Tax now would be the wrong thing to do (just 22% felt that it should be ended) as some industry groups have called for.
More generally, 41% of the public support the Windfall Tax on energy firms, compared to just 17% opposing it. Meanwhile, almost half (47%) believe that windfall taxes should actually be extended to more companies within the energy industry.
A windfall tax is an additional tax applied when companies make unusually high profits, often due to external factors rather than increased productivity or investment.
Support for the Windfall Tax remains among voters from all parties, according to the data. Among those intending to vote for Reform UK in the next general election, 39% support the Tax with just 24% opposing it. For those thinking of voting Conservative, 44% still support the Levy and 19% oppose it.
Among Labour, Green and Liberal Democrat voters, support is even stronger – as is support for extending the taxes to other sections of the industry.
Backing for the Windfall Tax was also strong in all areas of the country, with people in Wales polling the strongest support for the Levy. Earlier detailed polling in Scotland had shown 41% backing the Tax with 19% opposing it, but the new data suggests that this support has deepened with 44% now in favour of the Levy.
Recent figures have shown that the energy industry made £125bn in profits on their UK operations in the last 5 years and in the month since the conflict in the Middle East began, the share prices of energy companies have soared adding over £233bn to the market capitalisation of firms and resulting in a boost in the wealth of energy firm bosses.
Simon Francis, End Fuel Poverty Coalition coordinator said:
“Trump’s attacks on Iran, the damage to Qatari gas production and the disruption to supplies has led to spikes in the costs of heating oil and gas.
“But while households will feel the effects of this for months to come, the energy industry will continue to benefit from increased prices and a fresh wave of excess profits.
“Not only is the Windfall Tax vital in raising revenue to help those most affected from high energy bills, but this must also be the moment that the country unites to push for more support for energy efficiency measures and boosts renewable energy plans to bring down bills and secure our energy supply for the long-term.”
Robert Palmer, deputy director of Uplift said:
“Politicians calling for an end to the windfall tax just as the oil and gas giants are about to make billions in bumper profits are tone deaf.
“Instead of siding with the profiteering oil industry, political parties should be standing up for billplayers who are facing a steep Trump Tax on everything from their energy bills, to petrol and food.
“Last time, when Russia invaded Ukraine, oil companies didn’t invest their windfall profits in more drilling, instead executives and shareholders got windfall payouts. The government needs to tune out the barrage of special pleading by the oil firms and their political cheerleaders, and focus on real solutions to this crisis.
“The only way to bring down energy costs over the long term is to get off our reliance on oil and gas, and invest as fast as we can in renewables. More North Sea drilling will not take a penny off our bills, only boost the profits of fossil fuel companies.”
ENDS
Survation were commissioned by the End Fuel Poverty Coalition to interview 2,047 people from 2-7 April 2026. Data were weighted to the profile of the UK. Data was weighted by respondent’s sex, age, region, household income, highest qualification, and past vote (GE24, EU16).
Questions cited in the news story (some totals will not sum to 100% due to rounding, sample sizes in Northern Ireland are below 50 and should not be taken as representative)
An Energy Profits Levy (EPL) or ‘Windfall Tax’ was levied on oil and gas companies operating in the UK in May 2022 in response to record oil and gas industry profits and the rapid increase in energy costs following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. It is due to be in place until 2030. Do you support or oppose, or neither support nor oppose, the current windfall tax on oil and gas company profits?
- Strongly support: 20%
- Tend to support: 21%
- Neither support nor oppose: 26%
- Tend to oppose: 9%
- Strongly oppose: 8%
- Don’t know: 16%
| Total | Voting Intention | ||||||
| LAB | CON | RFM | LD | GRN | OTH | ||
| Strongly support | 19.77% | 27.43% | 19.27% | 15.02% | 28.16% | 20.25% | 19.21% |
| Tend to support | 21.34% | 25.40% | 24.44% | 23.82% | 33.60% | 23.49% | 12.85% |
| Neither support nor oppose | 26.42% | 25.42% | 29.44% | 26.48% | 19.82% | 22.46% | 26.61% |
| Tend to oppose | 8.94% | 9.66% | 10.07% | 12.22% | 7.24% | 8.09% | 7.49% |
| Strongly oppose | 8.05% | 5.60% | 8.68% | 11.62% | 1.78% | 7.51% | 8.11% |
| Don’t know | 15.48% | 6.49% | 8.10% | 10.84% | 9.41% | 18.20% | 25.72% |
| NET: Support | 41.11% | 52.83% | 43.71% | 38.83% | 61.76% | 43.74% | 32.07% |
| NET: Oppose | 16.99% | 15.27% | 18.75% | 23.84% | 9.02% | 15.60% | 15.60% |
| Total | Region | ||||||||
| London | South | Midlands | North | England | Scotland | Wales | Northern Ireland | ||
| Strongly support | 19.77% | 18.64% | 20.93% | 15.61% | 17.62% | 18.65% | 24.55% | 22.06% | 35.86% |
| Tend to support | 21.34% | 27.41% | 19.77% | 21.47% | 19.47% | 21.19% | 19.49% | 25.48% | 24.59% |
| Neither support nor oppose | 26.42% | 25.28% | 29.91% | 26.95% | 27.42% | 27.94% | 20.17% | 20.47% | 8.62% |
| Tend to oppose | 8.94% | 11.65% | 7.72% | 9.64% | 7.82% | 8.72% | 10.89% | 4.71% | 17.09% |
| Strongly oppose | 8.05% | 8.30% | 7.46% | 7.62% | 8.41% | 7.88% | 8.90% | 8.21% | 10.33% |
| Don’t know | 15.48% | 8.71% | 14.21% | 18.72% | 19.25% | 15.61% | 16% | 19.07% | 3.51% |
| NET: Support | 41.11% | 46.05% | 40.70% | 37.07% | 37.09% | 39.84% | 44.04% | 47.54% | 60.45% |
| NET: Oppose | 16.99% | 19.95% | 15.18% | 17.26% | 16.23% | 16.60% | 19.79% | 12.92% | 27.42% |
“It would be wrong to scrap the Windfall Tax now.”
- Strongly agree: 24%
- Somewhat agree: 28%
- Somewhat disagree: 14%
- Strong disagree: 8%
- Don’t know: 26%
| Total | Voting Intention | ||||||
| LAB | CON | RFM | LD | GRN | OTH | ||
| Strongly agree | 24.22% | 31% | 20.69% | 24.95% | 29.22% | 31.93% | 20.74% |
| Somewhat agree | 28.44% | 32.61% | 38.78% | 28.27% | 33.37% | 22.77% | 24.39% |
| Somewhat disagree | 13.98% | 14.10% | 13.22% | 19.03% | 10.82% | 11.77% | 11.66% |
| Strongly disagree | 7.79% | 7.40% | 5.35% | 8.05% | 8.53% | 8.73% | 6.96% |
| Don’t know | 25.57% | 14.90% | 21.97% | 19.70% | 18.07% | 24.80% | 36.25% |
| NET: Agree | 52.66% | 63.61% | 59.47% | 53.22% | 62.58% | 54.70% | 45.13% |
| NET: Disagree | 21.77% | 21.50% | 18.56% | 27.08% | 19.34% | 20.50% | 18.63% |
| Total | Region | ||||||||
| London | South | Midlands | North | England | Scotland | Wales | Northern Ireland | ||
| Strongly agree | 24.22% | 25.73% | 27.10% | 21.52% | 18.35% | 23.42% | 29.51% | 26.40% | 29.01% |
| Somewhat agree | 28.44% | 33.39% | 25.43% | 28.81% | 29.63% | 28.46% | 23.80% | 32.63% | 34.61% |
| Somewhat disagree | 13.98% | 15.86% | 11.76% | 16.61% | 13.68% | 13.85% | 14.51% | 9.51% | 24.13% |
| Strongly disagree | 7.79% | 8% | 7.95% | 8.78% | 7.67% | 8.04% | 6.22% | 6.66% | 6.85% |
| Don’t know | 25.57% | 17.01% | 27.75% | 24.28% | 30.67% | 26.23% | 25.96% | 24.80% | 5.39% |
| NET: Agree | 52.66% | 59.13% | 52.54% | 50.33% | 47.99% | 51.88% | 53.31% | 59.03% | 63.62% |
| NET: Disagree | 21.77% | 23.86% | 19.72% | 25.39% | 21.34% | 21.89% | 20.74% | 16.17% | 30.98% |
Which of the following statements best describes your view?
- Energy companies are profiteering from the conflict in Iran: 64%
- Energy companies are not profiteering from the conflict in Iran: 15%
- I don’t know: 21%
Which of the following comes closest to your view?
- Windfall Taxes should be extended to more companies within the energy sector: 47%
- Windfall Taxes should not be extended to more companies within the energy sector: 21%
- Don’t know: 32%
How concerned are you about the potential rising costs for the following due to the conflict in Iran, if at all? – Energy bills
- Very concerned: 55%
- Somewhat concerned: 28%
- Not very concerned: 8%
- Not at all concerned: 4%
- Don’t know: 5%
- NET, concerned: 83%
- NET, not concerned: 12%
Some predict average energy bills to increase by £228 per year in July. If your energy bill were to increase by this amount, which of the following statements best reflects your view?
- I would be unable to afford this energy bill price increase: 44%
- I would be able to afford this energy bill price increase: 38%
- Don’t know: 15%
- Prefer not to say: 3%
In the previous question you said that you would be unable to afford this energy bill price increase.In a scenario where your energy bill increased by £228, which of the following statements best reflects your view?
- I would have to cut back on essential goods to afford to pay for my energy bill: 49%
- I would be completely unable to pay my energy bill: 25%
- I would have to cut back on luxury goods to afford to pay for my energy bill: 15%
- I would be unable to afford this energy price increase, but I will not cut back on any spending to be able to pay for my energy bill: 9%
- Don’t know 2%
- Prefer not to say: 1%