Why aren’t energy bills falling?

Ofgem is expected to confirm that the unit cost of gas will fall slightly this autumn, but in winter 2020/21, households were paying just 3.5p per unit for gas. Today, the unit price is 6.33p – almost double – and it’s expected to fall only slightly this autumn.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition commented:

“The unit price set by Ofgem doesn’t just include the wholesale price, but also includes supplier costs and the charges caused by an ageing gas network.

“Gas prices don’t just affect gas bills. Under the energy market’s outdated ‘marginal pricing’ system, the cost of electricity is often set by the most expensive form of generation – usually gas-fired power stations. It’s like going to a bar and being charged for every drink as if you ordered the most expensive one on the menu.

“The reality is gas-fired electricity costs around c.£114 per megawatt hour, compared to just c.£41–£44/MWh for solar and offshore wind. Yet consumers are denied the benefits of these cheaper renewables.

“We’ve been urging the Government to fix this broken pricing system – but it’s unclear whether reforms are still on the table.

“Meanwhile, the North Sea is running out of gas. Even if all new fields are developed, the UK won’t produce enough to meet heating demand by 2027. This leaves us increasingly dependent on imports priced on volatile global markets – and concentrated in the hands of just a few companies like Equinor and Centrica.

“The increase to the price cap this time around is partly driven by the expanded Warm Home Discount – a vital lifeline for fuel-poor households. But instead of funding it through the £4 billion in excess profits energy networks pocketed after a regulatory decision, the Treasury chose to pass the cost onto households through bills.”

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Smart meters must work for all consumers

Ofgem has announced that consumers will see greater levels of compensation in the event of smart meter failures.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, commented:

“We must ensure that electricity pricing is fair and that everyone can access cheaper ‘time of use’ tariffs. Millions of people have been left behind in the smart meter roll out already and it is vital that the energy industry fixes problems with existing meters and compensates customers for failures.

“The main issues with smart meters are when they don’t communicate with the supplier and that is the fault of the Data Communications Company (DCC) and we are concerned that this fault will be exempt from compensation as it could be argued to be outside of the suppliers’ control.

“What’s more, when faults with smart meters are ongoing, it means that even people who want a smart meter may not be able to access from the best tariffs available. This is an issue not one which can’t be dealt with simply by a one off payment.

“And with the North Sea geologically unable to meet our gas heating needs for much longer and the UK set to rely on imports for 94% of its gas by 2050, we must be accelerating efforts to reform electricity pricing, not embedding unfairness. Access to smart tariffs must be universal, and smart meter failures must not become yet another reason why the most vulnerable pay more for energy.”

Energy bills set to rise as UK faces fifth winter of crisis

The latest analyst forecasts for the Ofgem price cap predict a 1% increase in energy bills from 1 October 2025. This removes some of the reduction in bills seen in July 2025. It means energy bills are 67% higher than in winter 2020/21 and predicted to be £20 more expensive than last winter.

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, commented:

“We’re about to face our fifth winter of the energy bills crisis, with the average family still paying hundreds of pounds more than they did just a few years ago.

“If we want affordable, secure energy, the regulator, industry and Government must work together to slash the cost of clean electricity.

“This is even more vital as the North Sea, once seen as the nation’s source of power, is literally running out of gas. Despite what some politicians would have us believe, it simply cannot provide energy for our heating systems in the long term.”

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